The race is not over until time is up.
Max Verstappen won the World Championship Formula 1 racing today in an incredible last round, after 57 rounds chasing Lewis Hamilton he put him off the throne in the last round. The race is not over until time is up. After 7 cycles of Lewis Hamilton hegemony a new cycle has set in. As a Dutch guy I am very proud of him. Well done @Max33Verstappen. Congrats to @redbullracing.
What has racing to do with the Stock Market?
As we have learned from W.D. Gann, a trend is not over until time is up. After 7 days (cycles) a new week always sets in. This applies to days, months, years.
Last Friday the $SPX made an incredible run as well as time was not up yet. We knew from the dominant Gann Master Cycle this could happen. The Stock Market is still following the Gann Master Cycle until last Friday, December 10th 2021 as you can see in below chart. Note: I will publish the dominant Gann Master Cycle projection on the $SPX in my annual Stock Market Outlook 2022.
From the looks of it we have probably made a probable high in the Stock Market, but the Gann Master Cycle is not the only cycle active in this market.
Time may not be up yet has this could be an Elliott wave 3 of some larger degree but we may pause around this time for a correction in 2022 (Wave 4 of a larger degree). What do you think?
The Venus Retrograde thesis applies to $SPX as well
On October 10th 2002 the S&P500 closed on 803.92. Venus is going Rx. Saturn Helio on the same day was on 83.3° longitude and when converting degrees to price this equals 803.3 (83.3+360+360). A change of trend occurred not only because of Venus Rx but also time(longitude) and price aligned on this date.
The low on the S&P 500 on March 6th 2009 hit 666.79. Next to Venus Rx, Mars Helio on this day was on 306.93°, Jupiter Helio on 307.90° , corresponding respectively to price levels of 667 and 668. The close on the same day was on 683.38 which aligned with Mars on 322.85° and the corresponding price level of 683 (322.85+360). Again time and price aligned.
Venus and Mars were both active on the 2002 and 2009 lows. From 2002 low the Venus Mars Helio cycle turns exactly to the same spot in the zodiac after 21 cycles (21x360°=7660°) on December 13th 2021. From 2009 low to December 19th 2021 is exactly 14 cycles (or 5040°) of Venus Mars Helio cycle.
The Venus Mars Geo cycle is also interesting. This cycles returns to the same degree measured from October 2009 low (6x360°=2160°) on December 19th , and on December 23rd 2021 measured from March 2002 low (9x360°=3240°).
Conclusion
So, if history repeats I am expecting a high and a probable change in trend somewhere between December 13th and December 23rd 2021. This is approximately 666 weeks from low 2009 and 999 weeks from low 2002. The mid point is December 18/19th at Venus Rx. Note: The 666 weeks cycle is know as the Beast cycle, or as a reader @rotrot pointed out it is also know as The Feigenbaum Cycle.
As always I can not give advice but only my views on the stock market. I can be wrong of course so watch the charts in front of you. Wait for a confirmation if the trend has changed.
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I like your wave 4 idea. My cycle work suggests a 10% correction by the end of January or early February
Tomorrow is the 23rd, so is the bull market done? or can we expect another run to ATH?